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Physician survey shows mixed views on pandemic risk

first_imgJun 6, 2007 (CIDRAP News) – Fewer than half of physicians who responded to a survey at a recent conference in Europe said they thought an influenza pandemic was very likely in the next few years, according to a report in the journal Archives of Disease in Childhood. The researchers also asked if attendees had gathered a supply of the antiviral drug oseltamivir for personal or family use. Only 11 (7.9%) of 139 respondents said they had. By training level, only 1 of 27 infectious disease specialists reported having acquired the antiviral, but among those in infectious disease training, 5 of 24 (17.2%) had their own supply. The findings, published early online, revealed that only 72 (44.7%) of respondents took the view that an avian influenza pandemic is “almost inevitable” or “very likely” within “the next few years.” Seventy-three physicians, or 45.4%, thought a pandemic was “possible” in that time span, while 16 (9.9%) viewed such an event as unlikely or very unlikely. Sarah Long, MD, chief of infectious diseases at St Christopher’s Hospital for Children in Philadelphia, said she has spoken at the same Oxford conference before and knows the audience. “It’s a very educated group, with a lot of doctors in training,” she told CIDRAP News. The survey was an anonymous electronic poll conducted at a pediatric infectious disease course at Oxford University in England. The group included 161 physicians, mostly from Europe, with half from the United Kingdom. The poll was conducted by Nigel Curtis of the University of Melbourne (Australia) and Andrew Pollard of Oxford. Peter M. Sandman, PhD, a risk communication expert from Princeton, N.J., and a columnist for the CIDRAP Business Source Weekly Briefing, questioned the authors’ interpretation of their survey findings, saying they equated pandemic inevitability with pandemic imminence. “We are on solid ground when we say another flu pandemic is nearly inevitable. We are on extremely weak ground when we say that it’s probably imminent, and we are doing terrible science and terrible risk communication when we conflate the two claims,” he told CIDRAP News. Sandman said that in the face of a dramatic decline in media coverage of H5N1 avian flu, the finding that 45% of physicians thought a pandemic was inevitable or very likely represents a sustained concern, rather than complacency. “The data suggest, if anything, that European physicians share the hunch that H5N1 makes a pandemic likelier than usual,” he added.center_img The authors concluded that the survey contains some mixed messages about physicians’ perceptions of pandemic risk. Despite widely publicized evidence that the world faces a serious threat of a pandemic, more than half of the respondents “did not believe the risk of an imminent influenza pandemic was more than a possibility,” the report says. However, a “significant minority” of the doctors believed the risk was high enough to warrant gathering their own antiviral supply, despite recommendations against personal stockpiling. Concerning antiviral stockpiling, Long said, “I’m pleased that such a small number [of survey respondents] have their own stockpile.” Antiviral supplies should be reserved for early responders and patients who need them, but other countries may have different views on physicians’ keeping their own supply, Long added. “If the perceived risk of an influenza pandemic observed in our survey is reflected in the wider medical community then it is perhaps not surprising that doctors are largely silent about this issue,” the authors write. They add that the reasons for physicians’ attitudes warrant further investigation if they are to help alert the world to the threat of a pandemic. Long wasn’t surprised by the survey results, but she said they may give a false impression that physicians don’t take the pandemic threat seriously, because qualifiers such as “possible” may not accurately gauge what people think. “Some might think ‘probably’ is associated with inevitable in the next 2 or 3 years,” she said. “Some of us are lumpers, and some of us are splitters.” “It is good news that many of Curtis and Pollard’s respondents still think a pandemic may well be imminent,” Sandman said. “But it would be better news if they realized that nobody has a clue whether a pandemic is imminent or not, and if they understood that preparedness doesn’t depend on whether a pandemic is imminent or not.” Curtis N, Pollard PJ. Physicians’ perception of pandemic influenza. Arch Dis Child 2007 May 10 (early online publication) [Abstract]last_img read more

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Lakers: 5 burning questions going into training camp

first_imgFor the first time since Kobe Bryant’s Achilles’ tendon popped, the excitement about the Lakers is entirely justified. They finally seem to have built a young core of potential stars, have a point guard who is being handed the Showtime baton and realistic hopes of adding one or more All-Stars next summer.PreviousAndrew Bogut talks about being signed as the newest Laker during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers rookie Lonzo Ball and president of basketball operations Magic Johnson navigate their way through the team’s annual media day event on Monday at their new training facility in El Segundo. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers top draft pick Lonzo Ball fields questions during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG) SoundThe gallery will resume insecondsLakers rookie Lonzo Ball answers questions during the team’s annual media day event Monday at their new training facility in El Segundo. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers top draft pick Lonzo Ball moves to different interview locations at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Corey Brewer answers questions during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers top draft pick Lonzo Ball at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Kyle Kuzma is photographed at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers head coach Luke Walton conducts a radio interview during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers president of basketball operations Magic Johnson addresses the media at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball conducts an interview at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers top draft pick Lonzo Ball moves around the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers center Brook Lopez talks to the media during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers top draft pick Lonzo Ball poses for photos at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Photographers capute Lakers top draft pick Lonzo Ball during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball poses for photos at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball poses for photos at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball poses for photos at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball poses for photos at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball poses for photos at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball poses for photos at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball is interviewed at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Magic Johnson conducts a radio interview at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball is interviewed at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Brook Lopez has his sneakers photographed at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)From left, Larry Nance, Jr., Kyle Kuzma and Brook Lopez chat during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Brook Lopez during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Jordan Clarkson is photographed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Vander Blue is photographed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Julius Randle is photographed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball, left, is interviewed by James Worthy, center, and Chris McGee during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers coach Luke Walton answers questions during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers coach Luke Walton answers questions during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is photographed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Brandon Ingram is photographed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Brandon Ingram is photographed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Jordan Clarkson is interviewed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lonzo Ball greets Chris McGee, right, and James Worthy during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Larry Nance, Jr. is photographed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Larry Nance, Jr. is photographed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Brook Lopez, left, and Larry Nance, Jr. have a chat as they wait to be photographed at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Luol Deng is photographed at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Julius Randle watches Luke Walton get photographed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Coach Luke Walton is photographed at the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Ivica Zubac is photographed during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Andrew Bogut talks about being signed as the newest Laker during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Andrew Bogut talks about being signed as the newest Laker during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Andrew Bogut talks about being signed as the newest Laker during the Lakers media day event at their new training facility in El Segundo on Monday, September 25, 2017. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)Lakers rookie Lonzo Ball and president of basketball operations Magic Johnson navigate their way through the team’s annual media day event on Monday at their new training facility in El Segundo. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)NextShow Caption1 of 47Lakers rookie Lonzo Ball and president of basketball operations Magic Johnson navigate their way through the team’s annual media day event on Monday at their new training facility in El Segundo. (Photo by Scott Varley, Daily Breeze/SCNG)ExpandIt has been a long summer since the conclusion of a fourth consecutive losing season, one full of activity. D’Angelo Russell has been exiled to Brooklyn, replaced by Lonzo Ball and his dazzling passing skills. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Brook Lopez have been added to the roster.It almost seems cruel to douse the renewed flame of hope by making the Lakers, still a few years away from contention, go out and play actual games. But soon enough they will. And when training camp opens with media day on Monday, we will start to get answers to these five questions facing the franchise:IS LONZO READY TO TAKE A LEADING ROLE?Lonzo Ball’s MVP performance in the Las Vegas Summer League generated additional hype and elevated expectations to levels most rookies don’t have to endure. Rookie of the Year? That’s just assumed at this point. Ten assists per game? Sure, why not. The truth is, the No. 2 overall draft pick will likely need some time to adjust to the size and quickness of NBA defenses, and he probably won’t score a lot in the beginning. But his preternatural ability to read defenses and deliver pinpoint passes will be on display from Day 1 and teammates will love playing with him. Hoffarth: Lakers’ wish list cheapened by the dozen Lakers training camp roster ARE THE PLAYOFFS A POSSIBILITY? LIKE, AT ALL?In a word: No. The Lakers will be better and they might surprise people. Last year’s 26 wins will almost certainly be eclipsed, but teams like Minnesota and New Orleans are in much better position to move out of lottery positioning, while the rest of the teams in the West, with the exception of Utah and the Clippers, made dramatic improvements to their rosters. Fifty-two of the Lakers’ 82 games come against teams in the Western Conference, which doesn’t work out in their favor. A brutal 11-game stretch in December will likely knock them out of sight of the 8-seed. Beginning with a Dec. 14 game in Cleveland, nine of 11 games are against teams that reached the Western Conference playoffs last season – including two matchups each with Golden State and Houston. The non-playoff opponents in that window? Two games against much-improved Minnesota.Related Articles SO, WHO’S GONNA SCORE?A pass-first point guard, a defensive-minded shooting guard and a power forward who likes to make baskets, but is still figuring out how to convert jump shots and use his body. Not exactly a recipe for an elite offense. The Lakers need a massive jump in production from second-year small forwardBrandon Ingram, who averaged 9.4 points as a rookie. Among the starters, that puts a heavy load on center Brook Lopez (20.5 points last season), who might be a perfect fit for Luke Walton’s system but is not ideally suited to be a first option. Better hope for a lot of buckets in transition.WILL THEY BE GOOD ENOUGH TO LURE LEBRON?Put another way, was the $500,000 tampering fine money well spent? Yes, that was for Paul George, but the Lakers we know will stop at no length to bring aboard a max-contract free agent next summer; preferably two. It’s assumed LeBron James is not long for his native Cleveland and that the Lakers would like to secure his services. Putting aside the fact the four-time MVP will be a 34-year-old free agent next summer, this season essentially boils down as an audition for Lonzo & Co. to King James and George.HOW WILL MAGIC AND PELINKA HANDLE THE YOUNG GUYS?If the Lakers intend to clear the salary cap space needed to land two high-priced superstars they will likely have to torpedo the organic and deliberate rebuild they have developed through years of drafting and losing. Jordan Clarkson’s $12 million contract is reasonable enough, but it could be in the way when it comes time to make big offers. The same goes for Julius Randle, who is up for a rookie extension that, unfortunately for him, likely doesn’t make much sense for the cap-conscious Lakers. They could solve the problem and retain both fan favorites by dumping Luol Deng’s contract in a trade. But, yeah. Good luck with that. How the new front office team navigates these murky waters will be among their earliest, and most important tests.center_img Newsroom GuidelinesNews TipsContact UsReport an Error AD Quality Auto 360p 720p 1080p Top articles1/5READ MOREUCLA alum Kenny Clark signs four-year contract extension with Packers Brook Lopez, one of few veterans on young Lakers team, might be biggest kid of all last_img read more

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Wellington boys basketball team beats Belle Plaine; SCBL tourney update

first_img Saturday’s schedule: Girls7th place game – Udall vs. West Elk, 9 a.m.5th – South Haven vs. CVDX, 12 p.m.3rd – Argonia vs. Central, 3 p.m.1st – Sedan vs. Caldwell, 6 p.m.Boys:7th – 10:30 a.m.5th – 1:30 p.m.3rd – 4:30 p.m.1st – 7:30 p.m. Close Forgot password? Please put in your email: Send me my password! Close message Login This blog post All blog posts Subscribe to this blog post’s comments through… RSS Feed Subscribe via email Subscribe Subscribe to this blog’s comments through… RSS Feed Subscribe via email Subscribe Follow the discussion Comments (2) Logging you in… Close Login to IntenseDebate Or create an account Username or Email: Password: Forgot login? Cancel Login Close WordPress.com Username or Email: Password: Lost your password? Cancel Login Dashboard | Edit profile | Logout Logged in as Admin Options Disable comments for this page Save Settings Sort by: Date Rating Last Activity Loading comments… You are about to flag this comment as being inappropriate. Please explain why you are flagging this comment in the text box below and submit your report. The blog admin will be notified. Thank you for your input. -2 Vote up Vote down Guest · 341 weeks ago It is called the roadrunner classic not what you have listed. I graduated from Chaparral so this bothers me that you can’t get this right. It has only been 40+ years for the tourney so you think you would know the name. Report Reply 1 reply · active 341 weeks ago +3 Vote up Vote down CueballSumnernewscow 94p · 341 weeks ago Wow. OK. I stand corrected. I do like the Chaparral Tournament, oops I mean “Roadrunner Classic.” The concession stand is the best out there. And I’m a big fan of Ken Henson, the athletic director. Report Reply Post a new comment Enter text right here! Comment as a Guest, or login: Login to IntenseDebate Login to WordPress.com Login to Twitter Go back Tweet this comment Connected as (Logout) Email (optional) Not displayed publicly. Name Email Website (optional) Displayed next to your comments. Not displayed publicly. If you have a website, link to it here. Posting anonymously. Tweet this comment Submit Comment Subscribe to None Replies All new comments Comments by IntenseDebate Enter text right here! Reply as a Guest, or login: Login to IntenseDebate Login to WordPress.com Login to Twitter Go back Tweet this comment Connected as (Logout) Email (optional) Not displayed publicly. Name Email Website (optional) Displayed next to your comments. Not displayed publicly. If you have a website, link to it here. Posting anonymously. Tweet this comment Cancel Submit Comment Subscribe to None Replies All new comments Friday’s schedule: BoysConsolation bracket#8 CVDX vs. Sedan, 4 p.m.#3 Oxford vs. #7 South Haven, 5:30 p.m.Winners bracket#1 Udall vs. #4 Argonia#2 West Elk vs. #6 Caldwellcenter_img by Tracy McCue, Sumner Newscow — The Wellington boys basketball team opened the Chaparral Tournament with a win over Belle Plaine… Also, SCBL Tournament update…•••••Chaparral Tournament The Wellington boys advanced to the second round of the Chaparral Basketball Tournament Classic with a 52-32 victory over Belle Plaine Thursday night. Wellington will battle Clearwater at 8 p.m. tonight in the semifinals. Clearwater beat Mulvane 80-73 in the other first round game. This will be a rematch of a league game played against Clearwater earlier in the season.On Thursday, Wellington opened with a 12-6 first quarter lead and held a 24-15 advantage at the half. The Crusaders upped the lead 39-28 at the end of the third and outscored the Dragons 13-4 for the win.Wellington’s Trevor Nance led all scorers with 24 points. Colin Reichenberger had 11, Wesley Gilmore 7, Austin Dunn 4, Connor Phelps 4, and Payton Baker 2.Belle Plaine scorers were: J. Detrick 13, B. Gooch 10, B. Happy 5, T. Balsters 2, and T. Balsters 2.The tournament schedule tonight will be:Arkansas City vs. Chaparral, 3 p.m.Belle Plaine vs. Mulvane, 4:30 p.m.Kingman vs. Conway Springs, 6:30 p.m.Wellington vs. Clearwater, 8 p.m.•••••SCBL Tournament update The girls teams played Thursday night in the second round tournament in Cowley College. The bracket is here:SCBL Basketball Tournament after ThursdayThursday’s scores: Consolation bracketSouth Haven 57 Udall 26Cedar Vale/Dexter 47 West Elk 38Winners bracketCaldwell 39 Argonia 36Sedan 49 Central 14.last_img read more

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